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DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/26 10:52
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures All Higher at Midday
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
10 to 13 cents higher; wheat futures are 5 to 6 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday Thursday; soybean futures are
10 to 13 cents higher; wheat futures are 5 to 6 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is flat at midday with the S&P 4 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is
5 points lower. The interest rate products are weaker. Energy trade is mixed
with crude up .10 with natural gas .20 lower. Livestock trade is mostly higher
with feeder cattle leading. Precious metals are firmer with gold up 15.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents higher at midday with softer spread action as
we see broad risk-on trade in grains after the break with volume remained
limited. The weekly ethanol report is expected to show steady production and
stocks when released Friday with margins under pressure from corn strength.
Weekly export sales delayed until Friday with expectations of sales in the
800,000 to 1.0 million metric ton (mmt) range. Basis action is expected to
remain flat to weaker toward the end of the year. On the March chart, the
20-day moving average at $4.39 is support with the fresh high at $4.53 3/4 as
resistance.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 10 to 13 cents higher with meal leading the product
complex with a gap higher move with production disruptions from an Illinois
plant boosting buyers along with a little drier weather in Argentina. Meal is
10.00 to 11.00 higher and oil is 10 to 20 points lower. South America weather
is continuing the recent pattern with potential remaining strong, especially in
Brazil, but the short-term forecast in Argentina has drifted lower. Weekly
export sales are expected in the 1.0 mmt to 1.25 mmt range Friday. Basis is
expected to remain flat to firmer in the short term. On the January chart,
trade has support at the lower Bollinger Band at $9.60, which we got back above
Friday, with the 20-day moving average the next level of resistance at $9.83.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 5 to 6 cents higher with trade following row-crops higher
and working back to nearby resistance levels. The Plains should see near-normal
temps and moisture into early January. The Black Sea area continues to be quiet
in the near term from a fresh news perspective. MATIF wheat is still closed for
the holiday with spreads still near the fall high. Weekly export sales are
expected to be in the 200,000 to 400,000 metric ton range. On the KC March
chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.51, which we are just
below at midday, with the Lower Bollinger Band at $5.34 as support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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